Monday, April 27, 2015

A possible furture for Pax Americana?

    America has existed for over a couple centuries this in contrast to older civilizations having existed for at least a couple thousand years or more.  Will America likely survive and secure itself well into the future?

    I hadn't wanted to do anything here other than jot down a few ideas here.  Namely, if a given world power were seen in some way as providing world security, obviously America has been in decline for any number of decades.  In the meantime, American politics seems riddled by modulating shifts in terms of lead and direction.  One executive and legislative undoing given to more common vocal chorus suggests that America might have far less certain of a given future, American education falling behind much of the world hadn't shown evident signs for improvement, and increasing technological industries would be reliant in drafting minds from abroad in filling positions in maintaining a competitive industries base.  On the other hand, improving quality of life and living standards else where in the world coupled to tiger growth economies, and steeply inclining population booms would mean marketplace competitiveness in drafting brain power to American shores will likely be all the more challenging for domestic technological growth.

    While America might have been given to prosperity and investment to securing itself as a major world power upon the successes of a last great war, on the other hand, dividends and returns otherwise, would wane in reigning decades.  Certainly all such investment would be catastrophic to the Soviet Union, but on the other hand, emerging power and inclining world populations with rising standards would make for more competitive resources use world wide.  Countries once relying solely, for instance, on bicycles, trains, or any other common cheaper transport would have emerging middle class populations that also would have greater consumer purchasing power.  America would be less alone in the world as a consumer economy, and herein the ability for an emerging populace to afford things like personal automobiles.  With this world wide energy futures outlook, look only all the more competitive with respect to petroleum use, and when a country such as China whose population exceeding the United States several times over, managed to have a modern present day comparable economic class statistic to the United States with exceeding brain power, it would seem the U.S. would have even greater challenges on its doorstep in securing petroleum resources that weren't ever increasingly being imported elsewhere.    Where America failed arguably in past, if ever a steep decline came about, were America's lack of long term foresight.  Where it spent more of its time in quibble and stagnation, and often times using the call of populism to orchestrate any momentum shift away from long term security while investing itself most heavily in military power, but also having a hand in proliferating its own turbulence in a manner of self survival.   Certainly if pundits complained of the decline of Pax Americana it seems the return in power, and the ancient echoes to glory revivalism would fall into wane, especially if it were given to inset rise of mass paranoia, or yet another meddling elsewhere in the world, or stoking coals of animosity.  World resources might be spent elsewhere more efficiently, and neither could America solely be reliant as civilization might have relative previous time era.  If it were that America become so isolated in such a future and called upon fear and furthered its 'purging' of society for lack of social and civil conformity, it seems its peril were in having provoked further its own self isolation.  International investment would monumentally shift away from American shores, and no longer could America spend so heavily as it once had in its military might, and less security could be had concerning its own path to self innovation and/or self prosperity.  On the other hand, it seems America might easily have become another backwater of a lost civilization whose landscape were pock marked by the skeletons of  mighty industrial relics which contaminated and poisoned much of a given landscape.
Increasingly where conflict resolution, according to American values, were defined at the barrel of a gun, it seems the world would begin to shy away.


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