Sunday, June 17, 2018

Problems for the Dark Forest Theory and Advanced Civilizations

Referencing article: http://bigthink.com/scotty-hendricks/the-dark-forest-theory-a-terrifying-explanation-of-why-we-havent-heard-from-aliens-yet

Why not very likely a scneario...

Perhaps prevailing logic of advanced civilization beyond type 1 orders could be that getting beyond type 1 means that most type 1 civilizations will be self eliminated before ever having reached such a stage and far less likely to prove a threat in terms of being invasive or a threat.

Prevailing logic of advanced civilizations beyond type 1...high inter cooperation, not competition and elimination oriented.

Prevailing  logic of competition oriented civilizations, taxing to resource usages, more likely to self destruct through the anthropogenic effects of climate change or anything else taxing a life hosting environment, nuclear, biological, and/or aggregate industrial catastrophes.  There is no reason to believe that higher order civilization would need bother with eliminating if competition/threat were an issue. 

That is a waste of time and resource.

Friday, June 15, 2018

Eurydice Dixon

   Eurydice Dixon: Comedian's killing prompts anger in Australia

Watching Picnic at Hanging Rock 

We only have ourselves to blame for not conforming enough.
We only have ourselves to blame for being on the wrong side of the tracks at the wrong time.

How to move past the clock being moved backwards

    Clocks have been pushed back much in history.  This is inevitable.









 






     Out of step with time?







     Have faith.








     Another famous writer once offered something about the thief of time is punctuality.









      

Wednesday, June 13, 2018

Chaos and Trump

   What is justice when a sitting president offers impunity by pardon power?  In all the wake of legal chaos, it seems so many rabbit trails have been open in the pursuit of inquiry that Trump is potentially redefining the practice of investigation.  What happens when investigators are spread in ever wide reaching spheres of inquiry and all of this leads to yet more prosecution while Trump remains untouched? 

    Certainly everyday passing only reveals how unscrupulous Trump has been, and by this observation, if by ignorance alone, Trump is likely to be caught up by anything that up ends his previous work, but does this really matter?  I say this because Trumpian chaos is spectacular in its way to operate success from failure, as has been the practice of turning success from loss in business, it isn't merely that Trump overtly worked this practice the minute that he set foot into the White House, as evidenced by overt commercial advertising for family business.  Trump's ZTE negotiations had shown more thinly Trump's brand of nationalist protectionism.  ZTE a Chinese based smartphone manufacturer had been banned in the US for integrated spyware.  This particular ban of technology were put in place under the Obama administration, this ban went generally unnoticed by the public until Trump.  Trump, on the other hand, made apparent his unskilled practice of double speak in lifting the ban.  ZTE's offered incentives to get Trump to lift the ban?  Apparently an Indonesian tower with Trump's name on it was brokered.       Trump's disarray and chaos has largely presided on the basis of wealth culture providing itself that freedom to do as it pleases, and in the process working from self propagation.  There isn't the notion of survival, or if it ever existed, the power paradigm rested upon prestige by scale.  Deception shouldn't exist any more than faith in such system afforded its own self evident truth.  Accounting irregularities are paid off mythologies as are the lies told by leaders that blithely spin their version of 'fake news'.

    One writer/comment person in media offers with casual excitement that Trump is spinning chaos into the system.   If that were given by the excitement that America were treading into new territorial waters and the system were changing.  It isn't, however, so exciting in that it were the digress of costing tax payers in more obvious ways.  Be it higher gas prices, or consumer product inflation all timed in concurrence to strike in more obvious ways after the midterm elections.  Trump's befriending enemy and making enemies of friends suggests only Trump's culture of unilateral reliance  Inclination isn't merely given by those scratching their heads asking why precisely why globalism hadn't worked around Trump, there appears to be just this occurring.  Scrapping an Iranian deal that were over a decade in the making (extending beyond Trump) would have assuredly been avoided, for instance, if the Iranian's brokered a Trump tower deal, and in this moment of chaos, it seems that all of this could be entirely possible, and that Trump had renegotiated a  deal that hadn't provided greater world wide security but actually weakened it, only on the premise of optical prestige and all that has brought Trump into power.

   Its not that the injection of chaos couldn't be good, it is when it is done so poorly only having made self evident any number of those caught in the wake of it.  Headlines to children separated from their parents by ICE in containing detention cages couldn't match the outrage of another parent's admiration of the new Trump era having done much the same.  Much that we wouldn't treat ourselves as we treat others as so popularly rained in an era of dehumanization.  Trump offers pardons with ease to the dead and to his allies.    Trump's  power operates through no concession, no admittance of failure, through the propagation of lies. Trump's business acumen is given certainly by an optics of the Trump mythology of America's apocalyptic cities.  More precisely, resurrection is given not by new opportunities but a mythological nostalgia.  Trump is an anachronism spinning the chaos of old ghosts that are certain to want to rest in peace and probably could care less for pardons.  Such nostalgia would insist on maintaining more costly and aging power infrastructure:  coal and nuclear plants that have been long up for decommissioning.  Trump has been merely embarrassed that inevitable demise, even under Trump, still happened with already so many closures of plant facilities and more likely to come, even as Trump offers vague references to national security in keeping these open.  The obvious downside of operating such can be self evident in countries that have over time refused free markets and have maintained costly infrastructure in the process.  The timing of power plant closures, especially relating to the hollow promises of Trump and coal country, is all optics to Trump.  It looks bad and avoiding the obvious, even if it were to cost taxpayers in the long run, should be more important to Trump.  As an aside even if coal were made more prominent in the American power grid landscape, and this bringing more coal mining back, it seems there is only greater likelihood that the jobs created were ones through automation and technology relative to human labor.  The rise of black lung disease, that hasn't been seen for decades is a testament of just how pressurized human labor markets are in such industries where human labor can't compete with automation.  Likely if companies want to invest in coal extraction it neglects human labor and jobs to go with it. 

    The turbulence that Trump has generated it seems should likely dissipate, at least being undone substantially in the future.  While the echoes of pre WWII protectionism seem alight, Trump's timing is off.  The French far right seem to have been thwarted as is likely the case of other movements.  Even the Brexit movement seems to be running an often tenuous calculus for an ever so cautious economy that wonders of its own self direction without a firm partner in the US that has of recent sent poor vibes.  Trump seems chaotic to the tenure of anti globalism and America first considering itself neither beyond Trump's power alone.  There isn't longevity belonging to a White House concerning itself more so with rapid sound offs and egos alike.  Trump's populism is given to a fleeting narrative that will likely remain the fixation of conspiracy theorist, victimization and victim blaming so often used.  Trump will likely have moved beyond such, however even in the case of eventual impeachment or anything else pushing Trump to exit if and when such should be the case, and in that measure, Trump isn't thinking about legacy but more likely Tower deals that had provided enough visual opulence, all the chaos of legal suits to follow over the power of management of such towers will have preoccupied a president's mind.  That Trump could also be of little tangible worth but all the worth in his own spectacle serves his time in office.  Trump will have only have remembered so much, otherwise, of his victimization and having generated new narratives certainly well into the future.  There is little calming the spectacle of his cult that has ensued for all the chaos. 
          

Thursday, May 24, 2018

Reaction to are bots entitled to freedom of speech?

Here is the prefacing article:
Are bots entitled to freedom of speech?

First amendment wording, of course, makes vague construed meaning of speech though it is probably more clearly implied communication.   

The answer to the question is yes, probably, bots could potentially be safeguarded as having protected forms of speech since neither does the amendment differentiate really who is doing the speaking.  That is speech could be individuals, groups of individuals, institutions, businesses, and have multiple authors.  Secondly, even if parsing the difference between human and non human in such distinction, the embedded authorship and protections of this, could be construed as protected as well, could it not?  The amendment again does not make distinction between whether such speech originates from human or not, nor distinction given to citizenship or anything else.  The amendment in the most abstract form reads to protect speech.  

Now online speech on private servers may have limitations as given by the distinction of public and private places.  Technically any twitter bot, could be banned (as has happened) even if the originating speech was technically coded by a human author...in other words, even if the authorship of such speech were ruled human, still limitations of speech in private spaces apply.  

Businesses are likewise curtailed even in public forums the right of speech in so far as advertising (signage space and format, for instance), and thus even so time restrictions could apply to say bot advertising spam in public spaces in the future as given by any locality (or broader) laws passed.  

Whether you like the bot, because it truly cares or misrepresents itself as human, for instance, is irrelevant in view of the law.  This doesn't mean, of course, that online the bot always has protected speech.  Obviously, twitter banned a number of bots on its servers,, and has its own reason to do so, most excepting those alt right people having lost a number of 'friend' voices might complain.  Other than they, whether bots have freedom of speech is probably irrelevant to issues of bot communication and handling of other issues...why need to pass laws in the first place in other words with respect to curtailing bot speech?

As it has been suggested in article that bots and 'fake news' going hand in hand have played a role in offering much 'misleading content'.  That being said, and not equally applicable to groups of individuals or governments in the past having done much the same.  Bots may serve in automation being able to scale volume of information but in many respects are as good (at present) as the human programmers that have conceived of manners in which to manipulate people.  Secondly, all the tools for scaled dissemination of 'misleading news' exists as easily for people.  I raise the point: what is the distinction between task automation and 'bots'? In this sense, I would ask what delineates tools of scale and automation relative to a bot having performed such tasks excepting that a human was required to do multiples of such task relative to having instructed a bot to perform all of these, nonetheless, by degrees of difference, task automation were involved in either process.  In other words, if the 'bot' writes the email as a well as compiling the mass mailing of deception, relative to the human that task wise does the same thing, only not having the bot at his or her disposal, what makes one so different relative another? The tools of task automation (email address lists),  and so forth, are still there...is such task automation worthy of the characteristic 'bot' and in the descriptive of censorship not protected speech when it is used and employed?  This indicates only the legal and logical problems of parsing distinctions of 'bot' if any such definition is construed for the purposes of law making legality of speech.  It is, perhaps, not only cumbersome but potentially absurd and labyrinthine. 

Perhaps, the future looks different in this respect, if machine learning systems have 'learned' better ways in deceiving people, and there is an unwillingness to tackle systemic issues in this respect. 

Musk and social site for ranking news articles

https://www.vox.com/2018/5/24/17389388/elon-musk-twitter-pravda

Article starts off with Musk doesn't understand how journalism work.  Doesn't?
A rant?  President spends most of his day Twittering and Musk five minutes differentiates less a rant and being unhinged? 

I hadn't followed another article's rants on freedom of the press, or how consent drive media otherwise, in a 'free country' has amounted so much to the culmination of what we have today.  Musk isn't responsible for the erosion of media outlets (such as the Denver Post given all of its layoffs) and that a major hedge fund (outside of Musk's control) would be engaged in all the cost cutting that effectively makes parts of media merely outlets of topically surface reporting, or for that are more likely to be silenced.   

Musk does, however, raise important points regarding 'fake news' especially when its used in connection with popular social media sites like Facebook.  In an age, where consumer advertising is driven to pushing hyperbolic reinforcement of personal subjectivity.  'Fake news' has been akin to provisioning a false social reality and social manipulation at that. 

Finally the article's red herring is laid that Musk is offering a smoke screen...hmm...as though categorically effort and attention is focused to things that Musk should be paying attention...exempting that the oval office does precisely this sort of thing repeatedly more often that many in politics have simply stopped responding.

Facebook is now being pressed for misuse of consumer data as well as its role related to 'fake news'.  Google has lost (for its ad sense) major sponsors for provisioning alt-right content that such sponsor weren't interested in endorsing or having wanted affiliation.  More so if Musk's ideas were employed in a way effectively so as to limit the influence of false social biasing, we might have at times better picture of how people nationally or world wide felt about any number of media articles, and in some ways, we might see, how the alt-right were given all the power of distorting an image to make it appear as being far more popular and accessible than it really were.  Trump could hardly stand the reality  (that were allegedly 'fakes') of the inauguration crowd images, or that his lead weren't as commanding as a hoped for a country so swept about by Trump's vision.  A perfect storm of social media culture has, of course, complimented Trump and his entourage, and only the usual consent of authoritative press making has been relied upon here in combating Trump.

As to other matters....

Apparently Grimes related to Musk in a intellectually curious way that sparked some dating interests, or so what...sounds pretty normal to me.  The other half of media doesn't get smart people relating to one another beyond something saccharine being involved.  Musk couldn't be more perfect for Grimes...given anagrams and all... :)

Tuesday, May 22, 2018

Into the cosmos

 
    The dawn of space faring era has already begun but it is predictable in many ways.
It is one given to consideration to cost, economy, and scale.  Much as any exploration of the world in the past were considered by commission and anything else making lucrative the possibility of an endeavor, exploration likely wouldn't have taken place for itself alone.  That is, without any number of purpose, and gain for economy in store.
 Applications for low and high Earth orbit are commonplace.  A manned moon landing, on the other hand, would be quite limited in duration and scope for all the extensive preparations made, scientific purpose were attached, of course, to these missions.  If  given to political and social ramifications, all set to notion of 'just because'.  On the other hand, such missions have not been repeated.  If it weren't merely to the cost exorbitance, the possibility of failure also popping a big sword, anything practical to come of future missions should be as ill fated as lunar colonies and giant spoke and hub (gravity simulating) lunar space wheels.  Energy expense for planetary terrestrial ascent has and will continue to be a likely daunting challenge well into the future.  It isn't just that Earth's gravity happens to be likely on the size scale of planets modest, or even its atmosphere representing another part of this challenge.  Classical mechanics about biology always place constraints on accelerated forces involved.  The classical chemical rocket expends momentum change with enough ease.  Imagine the momentary energy needed to in one burst.  For instance, if having devised a slingshot to hurtle something into space,  formidable air friction threatening any hurtled vessel since it isn't the sort of energy that is just mach 2 or 3 but in the double digit range (that is red hot energy for air friction), and thus the problem of launching things into space a merely conservative path problem.  Air friction is certainly part of this problem, and as much as imagining escape velocity having taking limits to infinity in such problem might entail all the necessary energy to do what is required to get a vessel away from any planet, and that even where gravity is sensed considerably weaker above...it is always necessary to expend energy to ensure that such vessel (via centripetal acceleration) isn't also pulled back to Earth.  Fortunately, this expense in a rarefied environment means that air friction isn't so much the problem, and that such fuel also applies much more in return relative to the same expense at a much lower altitude.  The cosmic dance of the moon about the Earth, is 2,300 miles per hour while it is 240,000 miles away from Earth...that velocity is necessary, otherwise, the moon and the Earth would fall into one another, and certainly another great cosmic melancholia would beset its inhabitants.  Thus the other part of the problem in sending thing up is ensuring that they stay up there, especially when sending things away to infinity is highly unlikely.  A space shot, while having been proposed at times in the past, rightly has stayed theoretical in most cases, or only in application to the projectile for weapons purpose...where a melting projectile isn't given as much consideration relative to whether it can at least reach its intended target...thus no need for heavier considerations of things like heat shield and so forth.  Movie's like Interstellar, hint at the mathematical and energy realities of evacuation for such planetary apocalyptic scenarios.  That is, to say, the energy to do so, at present, goes beyond a scale that our world economy could handle.  Amazingly enough we may not be so much up for the scale of things involved in the math, and when the mother ship and all life boats have been launched into the heavens via the screen, we are as likely to accept such possibility.   

   The cost per kg of sending things into low earth orbit has dropped considerably in price tag, on the other hand, and this makes more remarkable the feat of cost, economy, and scale of space faring in the future.  I would argue far more important than one time symbolic purpose that could offer the same residential purpose of any hosting Olympic city.  That is, what is left behind, however, isn't as likely decay where it has stood but an obvious time warp given to abandon, and in that presence what a civilization had achieved, in view of the alien archaeologist should be only more obvious.  Clearly that dreams and aspirations weren't given to optics alone, but proved robust and commonplace.

   Fantasies of explorers past dabbled into quite romanticized fictions, in their accounts, even as the cost, purpose and more mundane details would surface for accountants.  Captivating the social energy of audiences, financial speculations, and hoodwinks in store would prove as necessary ingredients.  While others like Pizarro would make fortune, seizing amazing stores of gold, having the technology to do so, forcing upon hearts and minds through shock and awe.  Otherwise, inexplicably, how should so many numbers otherwise fall despite major technological advantages that his band of conquistadors would possess?  Nonetheless, even given the supposed impetus to religious conversions, economy were a major driving force to such exploration and the seizure of land.  Wealth and enrichment, to the tune of a gamble, but not without preparations, not without reconnaissance.  Nothing was happenstance by Pizarro's mission to conqueror Peru.  That is given by the application of having done, precisely this sort of thing in the past, and having the necessary implements in place achieving these goals.

     What conqueror wanders into a wasteland, otherwise, that has little to offer and considers this worthy?  It is one fictionalized in paper, and at least, despite any number of lost vessels for any measure of achievement. Despite losses, social capital could be had for any commissioned journey, and when ever resources could be seized, and nothing of established administration and legal right should exist for indigenous peoples, seizure could prove most profitable relative to any king attempting to purchase land otherwise holding such resources, already having been measured and likely in some way, having suffered from then modern technological depletion in a way that would prove distinct relative the new world.

   The cosmos offers potentially something similar here.  Though as always, there is any age old problem, considering transport and logistics.  Fortunately, what could be seized should likely only require the forced religious conversion of alien microbes at best, at least for this solar system.   Having to deal with gravity and energy requirements and so forth, humans in such age, provide lesser roles in all likelihood.  Low quality of life indicators for more permanent residence are just as likely given the limitation of scale for habitation elsewhere.  If resident outposts in Antarctica are prime examples, one could hardly describe permanent residence, or anything close to metropolis, and that township at best are geographically peripheral and more likely provide year round habitability.  Spectacular failure of self sustaining and completely resource independent bubble cities have proved that the idea of colonies elsewhere could well be omen of what were to come.   If there isn't something potentially exponentially foreboding in the cost of things.

   I imagined the colonists of the future having arrived in successive waves, as in the ships that brought them there at all such expense.  That trip could be imagined, like the old world colonist, or something like fur trappers set about to make their fortune and having left another life and children behind when fortunes were made.  Though in reality, while we can think of the past, and imagine it in parallel, there is all the exponential gape of one world relative another.  The cosmic sea isn't merely a living sea in the same sense or scale.  It is far more vast and empty than that.  It is the difference of scale that makes such journey, a more likely one way trip, or at least one that is scaled to small populations when humans are sent elsewhere.  Otherwise, the less glamorous thought is that these inhabitants were likely born from cheap transport and petri dishes and never knew the sunrise on Earth.  How could one describe the tragedy of lost seeds, otherwise, that never experienced consciousness and whose parents were machines that did their best in care for their children's survival?

Oblivion

 Between the fascination of an upcoming pandemic ridden college football season, Taylor Swift, and Kim Kardashian, wildfires, crazier weathe...